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Monday, September 05, 2005


Clark $1.75

Brash $1.95

I'm glad I got a hundred bucks on at $2.40.

Update: Tim Selwyn is quoting Centrebet at $1.55 Clark and $2.25 Brash as at 12.30.

How veruy strange. Tim, where are you getting your figures? Same place as your New Orleans commentary?

A few minutes ago Centrebet's figures were unchanged from those posed here at 11.40.

Further Update: I take it all back!! It was 1230 am. Presumably the wee smalls this morning.

Posted by Adolf Fiinkensein | 9/05/2005 11:49:00 am


Blogger Berend de Boer said...

Wouldn't it have been great if you could sell those bets? Instant bucks, you don't even have to wait for the outcome. A pity you can't, and a pity TradeSports doesn't do NZ.

9/05/2005 12:05:00 pm  
Blogger t selwyn said...

I have my odds up and the 3 others over at TUMEKE!

I'm not going to shorten National that far without another poll.

9/05/2005 01:11:00 pm  
Blogger t selwyn said...

I suspect the higher National party votes result from the prompting after they say don't know. If National have headlines that day that group will say National. On a Labour day they would say Labour. The official Don't Knows are around 10% - but that 5-10% that needed prompting I think are being racked up to either side and skewing the results. Still puts it neck and neck however. But I will always give Labour an incumbency advantage that Centrebet seems will not.

9/05/2005 01:16:00 pm  
Blogger Antarctic Lemur said...

Tim - have you bet money on this election?

9/05/2005 02:04:00 pm  
Blogger t selwyn said...

Hell no.

I just watched in amazement as Brash floated out to $3.25 on Centrebet thinking, "if I were a betting man..." That didn't last too long. If I was running the book for real I would have bought up big time at that point. Labour at almost $2 after the first couple of days was also a bargain.

9/05/2005 04:14:00 pm  
Blogger Antarctic Lemur said...

Berend - a business idea!

9/05/2005 04:18:00 pm  
Blogger t selwyn said...

Oh, and National at $2.40 wasn't a shabby investment. I had them at $2.60 at the highest point so I think you did well.

9/05/2005 04:19:00 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Im glad you got a hundred bucks at 2.40 too
current odds
1.60 to 2.20
what a winner you are

9/08/2005 10:22:00 pm  

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