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Tuesday, October 04, 2005

Report attempts to characterise the insurgency in Iraq

A report by the Centre of Strategic and International Studies suggests there are around 3,000 foreign Muslims fighting against the Government of Iraq, only 450 or so of which are from Saudi Arabia. The report says the core of the insurgency is about or greater than 30,000, located mainly in Sunni central and western Iraq.

The report further says the 'pillar' of the Iraqi volunteers are conservative Sunni tribesman previously closely related to Saddam's regime, though not necessarily part of it. Former Republican Guard and Fedayeen types are described as playing technical rather than leading roles. Saudi intelligence reports are cited as the source, though they must be 3rd hand accounts because I can't imagine the Saudi intelligence agencies freely publish such information.

The report doesn't attempt to quantify how many of the bombing attacks on Iraqi Police, civilians and Army are caused by foreign vs Iraqi terrorists, nor does it examine how closely (or not) Al Qaeda types are working with the Sunni tribalists.

CSIS - Saudi Militants in Iraq: Assessment and Kingdom’s Response [PDF]

The Counterterrorism Blog has more related info, including some feedback on the above report.

Hilariously I've found lefty sites on the Interweb describing CSIS as a 'neocon thinktank' and similar. The CSIS is presently chaired by former Democratic Party senator Sam Nunn, though it does employ many conservative types.

Posted by Antarctic Lemur | 10/04/2005 05:46:00 PM

2 Comments:

Blogger Ackers1 said...

AL you might like to read Peter Galbraith's piece on the Iraqi Constitution. It's not entirely pessimistic and points to a way out of the quagmire the Bush administration has found itself in.

http://www.nybooks.com/articles/18150

10/04/2005 07:09:00 PM  
Blogger Antarctic Lemur said...

"quagmire" ?! Tell me ackers - was WW2 a "quagmire"?

10/04/2005 07:18:00 PM  

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