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Sunday, September 04, 2005

Landslide Warning

This will get Jordan and phil steamed up.

Much has been made of the failure of American authorities to take proper heed of recent hurricane warnings.

About three months ago (I haven't been able to check exactly when) I issued the first landslide warning for New Zealand. Of course no one took any notice. Just a mad blogger with a funny name. What would he know? Well, political predictions are a bit like investment advice. The professionals charge huge fees for telling you of your losses in a timely fashion. Ordinary bloggers who keep their eyes open are able to read the same tea leaves as do the journos and party hacks. About the only thing we don't have access to is private poll results.

My instincts tell me Labour is in full panic mode. Like New Orlean, the signs have been there for them to see but ideology drove them ever on until, too late, the disaster of the Chewing Gum Budget crashed over them like a nine metre tidal wave, followed by the brute force winds of Tax Cuts. Just as the inherent deficiencies of the New Orleans administration have been starkly revealed, so with this Labour administration.

The only plan people have been able to see has been their systematic backflip on ALL the policies which, up until a few weeks ago, were promoted piously as sacrosanct and essential for the wellbeing of New Zealannd. Phase Two of the plan has been a series of extraordinary lies aimed at discrediting the personalities of the Centre Right.

Well folks, people are not silly. Labour should have read a little more of Churchill who, before a particularly tight election, proclaimed his faith in the wisdom of the ordinary voter. Labour's biggest failure has been to lose touch with the ethos of the ordinary Kiwi for whom, like our Australian neighbours, the concept of 'a fair go' looms large and for whom the notion of deliberately being told lies does not fit well. Labour's campaign style during the past four weeks, in my view, is largely responsible for the party's declining fortunes. The PM has been a key contributor and her latest 'childless lesbo' gaffe, following so closely on the Pontius Pilot fiasco, so soon after "Speedogate,' will lose even more votes. Clark and Cullen both have had their facades of respectability stripped away and what has been revealed for all to see is not pretty.

The Gnats have their tails up - evinced by the stories of derring to on the hustings. Dr Brash looks more relaxed and Presidential as every day goes by.

I have no doubt now a landslide defeat will be handed to Labour in 13 days time. I'm not just yet so sure who the winners will be.

Posted by Adolf Fiinkensein | 9/04/2005 04:45:00 pm


Blogger Lucia Maria said...

Is the anticipation getting to you, Adolf?

9/04/2005 05:32:00 pm  
Blogger Adolf Fiinkensein said...

I didn't know about Colmar Brunton. True dinks!

9/04/2005 06:16:00 pm  
Blogger Gooner said...

It doesn't help Helengrad too when she calls Hide a 'loudmouth' on TV1 tonight.

Well two can play at that game, Helen. But I won't. I don't need to stoop that low. On Sep 17 I will speak with my action as will most of the country.

9/04/2005 08:58:00 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

now adolf..it sounds like you are hyper-ventilating..steady on..

still two weeks to go..this is your high point..relish and cherish and remember it...

btw 1..have you solved the coalition problem..or are you just putting that sobering thought out of your mind for the moment...

btw gooner..i noted on the other thread how you are caught on the horns of a dilemma..for act to live..national must die..cor..!..a quandry..eh..?

what else has national got to offer..?
the tax card and that smelly, nasty race card has been paid...the dirty tricks pamphlets against the greens and labour will blow up in your faces over the next little while..

and you can bet clark/cullen have still got a few tricks in their bags..

so..i'd buckle up if i was you lot...and st johns' wort or a good strong herbal cigarette will see you right...:)(..for that tendency to over-exuberance..)


9/05/2005 06:44:00 am  
Blogger Adolf Fiinkensein said...

phil. Here's one of your favorites. 'Dream on.' Yes, I'm sure there are a few tricks left in the old bag. Tell her to sack her make up man for a start.

9/05/2005 07:21:00 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

the truth is, 90+% of the public think the greens are a bunch of loonies, so whatever obvious asertions that Nats and ACT make, will be agreed with. Whereas, someone who keeps shrilly pointing an accusatory finger like a demented Harpy on P will just turn the swinging punters off. To then try to get the public on side, by telling them to go with the credible candidate (when their own credibility is in tatters-doonegate, paintergate, speedogate, pilotgate, we have no money for tax breaks, George Hawkins...the list goes on) is the deathknell for Labour. How anyone is expected to have trust in a deceitful administration, shows the height of arrogance. Something that Clark is not without.


9/05/2005 12:32:00 pm  

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