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Sunday, August 21, 2005

Russian solar physicists bet $US10,000 global temps drop before 2018

Two climate change sceptics, who believe the dangers of global warming are overstated, have put their money where their mouth is and bet $10,000 that the planet will cool over the next decade.

The Russian solar physicists Galina Mashnich and Vladimir Bashkirtsev have agreed the wager with a British climate expert, James Annan.

The pair, based in Irkutsk, at the Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics, believe that global temperatures are driven more by changes in the sun's activity than by the emission of greenhouse gases. They say the Earth warms and cools in response to changes in the number and size of sunspots. Most mainstream scientists dismiss the idea, but as the sun is expected to enter a less active phase over the next few decades the Russian duo are confident they will see a drop in global temperatures.
Of course such ideas are old news to anyone familiar with Milankovitch Cycles. Physical Geographers and Quaternary Geologists have thought for over 30 years that changes to Earth's global climate vary in cycles according to the orbital relationship between Earth and the Sun.

Wikipedia has some background and diagrams on Milankovitch Cycles, but it doesn't represent the 'state of the art', and I see some academics are engaging in a b*tch fight in the discussion page.
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Posted by Antarctic Lemur | 8/21/2005 11:19:00 PM

3 Comments:

Blogger Chefen said...

Probably worth a few bucks. Climate modelling doesn't generally account for solar activity or geological activity. A major eruption will also give them the loot.

8/22/2005 01:44:00 AM  
Blogger Antarctic Lemur said...

Climate modelling! Don't talk to me about climate modelling... who appointed those ignoramuses as the official climate modellers? Its like appointing a physicist to build a bridge. He might know why its possible, but it'd be a screwup.

8/22/2005 01:48:00 AM  
Blogger Chefen said...

I think the IPCC appointed them, another great international effort at scamming money.

8/22/2005 04:41:00 AM  

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